Canelo vs Crawford Boxing Picks

Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford - Expert Boxing Picks & Predictions

For Mexican Independence Day weekend, the undisputed super middleweight title will be on the line in the biggest fight of the year. Saul “Canelo” Alvarez will face the undefeated Terence Crawford in the main event of this action-packed boxing fight card. You can bet on all the fights here at Stake Sportsbook. Read on for our expert analysis and predictions of the event as well as latest boxing news right here at Stake.

When & Where is Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford?

Canelo vs Crawford will take place on September 13 at the Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford Fight Card Picks & Odds

Canelo is currently the betting favorite for his bout against Crawford. While the American boxer is undefeated and has some excellent stoppage wins on his record, he’ll be coming up 2 weight classes to challenge Canelo.

Another fact to consider when making your picks is the recent activity of each fighter. Canelo fought earlier this year in May, while Crawford hasn’t stepped into the ring since he beat Madrimov in August last year.

Crawford typically fights out of southpaw stance, which will give him an advantage against a lot of boxers who are used to orthodox opponents. However, Canelo has faced 6 southpaws in his career and has beaten them all with 3 KO wins. For these reasons, we’re choosing Canelo to win, although Crawford has enough quality to make it a difficult fight.

Main Card

• Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford - Canelo by decision

• Callum Walsh vs Fernando Vargas Jr. - Walsh by KO/TKO

• Christian M'billi vs Lester Martínez - M’billi by decision

• Mohammed Alakel vs Travis Kent Crawford - Alakel by decision

Prelims

• Serhii Bohachuk vs Brandon Adams - Adams by KO/TKO

• Ivan Dychko vs Jermaine Franklin - Franklin by KO/TKO

• Reito Tsutsumi vs Javier Martinez - Tsutsumi by decision

• Sultan Almohamed vs Martin Caraballo - Almohamed by decision

• Steven Nelson vs Raiko Santana - Nelson by KO/TKO

• Marco Verde vs Marcos Osorio-Betancourt - Verde by decision

Previous Fights & Fighter History

Saul Canelo Alvarez

Canelo has been one of the biggest stars of boxing over the past decade and has held multiple world championships in 4 weight divisions, from light middleweight to light heavyweight. He’s also achieved the unified titles, meaning he held all of the belts at once, in 3 of those divisions.

Over the course of his career, Canelo has had 68 professional fights, winning 63 of those and 39 by KO or TKO. He’s also had 2 defeats in the ring, and has fought to a draw twice too. His first career loss was against none other than Floyd Mayweather Jr. back in 2013. His 2nd loss was a 2022 light heavyweight bout against Dimitri Bovil, after which he returned to super middleweight.

Some of Canelo’s biggest wins have been over Miguel Cotto, Liam Smith, and former unified middleweight champion Gennady Golovkin. The Mexican boxer is known for his excellent counter-punching style and his hard body shots. He’s been consistently ranked as one of the top pound-for-pound fighters and is also one of the sport’s biggest ever pay-per-view stars.

The last time Canelo stepped into the ring, he fought William Scull for the undisputed super middleweight championship. This was in May 2025, and Canelo secured a unanimous victory over his opponent.

Terence Crawford

Crawford is an undefeated boxer whose biggest wins have been in the super welterweight division. He’s also held multiple world championships in 4 weight classes, including the undisputed title at light welterweight and welterweight. In 2024, he also secured the WBA and WBO light middleweight titles when he defeated Israil Madrimov.

Throughout his professional career, Crawford has had 41 wins and no defeats. 31 of his wins have come by way of KO/TKO, including his impressive stoppage of Errol Spence Jr. in 2023. He also has big TKO wins over Shawn Porter, Kell Brook, and Amir Khan.

Crawford has a lot of punching power, with a high volume of stoppage wins for his weight class, including against some of the best boxers in the division. However, he’s not just a big hitter. His excellent technical ability, fast movement, and ability to switch between southpaw and orthodox fighting stances make him stand out. Crawford also has a background in wrestling, which gives him a distinctive style that some boxers find difficult to figure out.

The last time Crawford fought was over a year ago, when he faced Israil Madrimov in August 2024. That fight was for the WBA and WBO light middleweight titles, and he won by unanimous decision.

Types of Boxing Bets & How to Bet on Boxing

It’s easy to start betting on boxing at Stake. You can read our boxing betting guide and our ultimate sports betting guide for more details, but here are the basic steps to follow:

1. Log in to your account and make sure you have the funds available to bet.

2. Search for a fighter’s name or use the menu to look up Boxing > International > International Matchups.

3. Scroll through the live and upcoming matches to find the one you want to bet on.

4. Select any bet to add it to your bet slip, then enter your stake and check your potential payout.

5. Confirm your bet to place it.

Bet on Boxing with Best Odds & Boxing Betting Promotions

Stake offers odds on all major boxing events. Before you bet, make sure you understand how to read odds and learn about the vig. To get the best value, compare odds and switch between decimal, fractional, and American formats to make it easier for you to read. We’ve also got some great sports betting promotions which will help you get more from your bets.

Deposit & Withdrawal Methods for Betting on Boxing

Deposit

1. Log in to your Stake.com account and open your wallet.

2. Choose the deposit option, then select any of the available payment methods and local currencies such as CLP, CAD, VND, ARS, INR and TRY.

3. You can deposit and bet with crypto too. Stake supports lots of cryptocurrencies, including BTC, ETH, USDT, EOS, DOGE, LTC, TRX, and SOL.

4. Send your crypto from your wallet or exchange, or use Mesh to transfer. You can also buy crypto at MoonPay or Swapped.com and conveniently transfer it over.

5. Once your deposit has been credited, store it in the Stake vault for additional security.

Withdraw

1. Log in and open your Stake wallet before selecting the withdraw option.

2. Choose any of the available payment methods.

3. Enter your details and the amount you want to withdraw.

4. Ensure the right cryptocurrency network is selected and double-check all details.

5. Confirm your withdrawal and wait for it to arrive.

Stake Sportsbook Promotions, VIP Club, & Responsible Betting

While betting on boxing at Stake, you’ll also be able to enjoy a range of exciting sports betting promotions such as our exclusive boxing promotion between Canelo vs Crawford! You can also unlock rewards by placing bets thanks to our VIP Club. As you level up your account, you’ll be able to earn regular rakeback, reload bonuses, and even your own VIP host. More details on how it works are available on the VIP FAQ page.

Make sure you’re betting responsibly while enjoying the boxing at Stake. Follow our Stake Smart guidelines to have fun while staying in control.