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UFC Picks & Expert UFC Fight Card Predictions

Stake - 8 de enero de 2026
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UFC Picks & Expert UFC Fight Card Predictions

Stake is one of the top platforms for UFC betting, as well as all types of sports betting. However, there is a lot that fight fans need to know about UFC odds and MMA betting, especially when there’s a big event like UFC 324 on the horizon. We've put together a betting guide specific to UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett with our expert picks on the upcoming event right here on Stake Sportsbook.

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Picks - UFC Predictions & MMA Betting Odds

The UFC gets the new year underway with a thrilling fight card that features some of the best talents on the roster. This January, UFC 324 will be headlined by an interim lightweight title fight between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett, while the women’s bantamweight title will be on the line in the co-main event between Kayla Harrison and the returning Amanda Nunes.

All the fights at UFC 324, including the main card and prelims, will be available to bet on here at Stake. What’s more, you can enjoy the full event with our free live stream.

When & Where is UFC 324 Gaethje vs. Pimblett?

UFC 324 will be held at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The event is scheduled for January 24.

UFC 324 Fight Card Picks & Odds

Main Card

  • Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett - Pimblett by submission

  • Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes - Harrison by decision

  • Sean O’Malley vs. Song Yadong - O’Malley by KO/TKO

  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis - Lewis by KO/TKO

  • Jean Silva vs. Arnold Allen - Silva by decision

Preliminary Card

  • Michael Johnson vs. Alexander Hernandez - Hernandez by decision

  • Nikita Krylov vs. Modestas Bukauskas - Bukauskas by KO/TKO

  • Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson Figueiredo - Nurmagomedov by decision

  • Ateba Gautier vs. Andrey Pulyaev - Gautier by KO/TKO

  • Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson - Johnson by KO/TKO

  • Natália Silva vs. Rose Namajunas - Silva by decision

  • Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman - Hokit by KO/TKO

  • Ricky Turcios vs. Cameron Smotherman - Smotherman by decision

Previous Fights & Fighter History

Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett

This interim title clash sees former interim lightweight champion Justin Gaethje face the up-and-coming Paddy Pimblett. Gaethje has been one of the top fighters in the UFC’s lightweight division since he arrived in 2017. He’s built a reputation as one of the most exciting fighters on the roster and has fully earned the nickname “The Highlight”. Although he lost to the undisputed champion, Khabib Nurmagomedov, in 2020 and lost a lightweight championship fight to Charles Oliveira in 2022, Gaethje has remained in the top rankings of the weight class. However, the MMA odds have him as the underdog in this matchup.

Paddy Pimblett was a major star in Cage Warriors before coming to the UFC in 2021. The UK fighter is known for his brash personality and high-energy walkouts, as well as an exciting fighting style and excellent submission grappling skills. Since arriving in the UFC, he’s been unbeaten, winning 7/7 fights and finishing 5 of his opponents. His last fight saw him stop Michael Chandler in impressive fashion, after previously submitting King Green.

Based on their recent fights, Pimblett comes into this fight as the betting favorite. He has a high finish rate and has looked bigger and stronger than a lot of his opponents. However, it’s worth noting that many of his wins were against fighters like Tony Ferguson, who were in the twilight of their careers. Gaethje is probably not the fighter he once was, but he’s still beaten top opponents in recent years, including Dustin Poirier and Rafael Fiziev twice. As a result, we’re expecting a tough fight for Paddy, but if he can take Gaethje down, there’s a good chance he’ll submit him.

Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes

2-time Olympic gold medalist Kayla Harrison has been one of the most dominant women’s MMA champions of all time, but she’ll now face Amanda Nunes, who is widely considered the women’s MMA GOAT. Harrison has won 3/3 fights in the UFC and was a 2-time PFL champion, with 15 wins and just 1 loss. She won the UFC women’s bantamweight belt in the summer with a submission over Julianna Peña. Understandably, she’s the favorite according to the latest UFC odds, as she’s facing an opponent who has been retired for more than 2 years.

Nunes retired in 2023, having won 14 UFC fights and lost just 2, while winning both the women’s bantamweight and featherweight belts and amassing a total of 8 title defenses. Although she won everything possible, she’s now returned for a legacy fight with the current dominant champion. Her long layoff means she’s an underdog for the first time since 2018.

Harrison most likely has the edge in this fight. Thanks to her judo background and impressive strength, she’s an incredible grappler and capable of beating anyone on the ground. Nunes is a great all-around fighter though, with good striking and submission skills. If Nunes has been training her takedown defense during her layoff, it will be a tough test for the current champion, but ring rust means Harrison has the advantage.

Types of UFC Bets & How to Bet on UFC & MMA

Once you’ve made your picks, it’s easy to bet on UFC fights at Stake. All you have to do is log in to your account and follow the steps below:

  1. Log in to your Stake account using your secure passkey and check your available balance in the wallet.

  2. If you need to, you can use any accepted payment method and local currency, such as Canadian Dollars, Turkish Lira, Vietnamese Dong, Argentine Pesos, Chilean Pesos, Mexican Pesos, USD in Ecuador, Indian Rupees, and more, to add funds to your account.

  3. Alternatively, use any of our supported cryptocurrencies, such as BTC, ETH, USDT, EOS, DOGE, LTC, TRX, and SOL, or a service like Mesh, MoonPay, or Swapped.com , then store your coins in the vault for safety.

  4. Once you have coins in your wallet, you can swap your crypto between any of the supported cryptocurrencies.

  5. Search for the UFC to see the upcoming events and outright betting options.

  6. Read through our betting picks blog and check out the latest sports betting tips.

  7. Select a fight to see the available fight lines and odds.

  8. Choose a betting market to add to your bet slip and then enter your stake.

  9. Confirm your bet to place and watch the fight live.

If you’re totally new to betting, you may want to check out our guide to MMA betting or our complete sports betting guide. You can also make use of our help center to find answers to any questions you might have. Of course, our customer support team is always available to assist if you need it.

There are lots of ways to bet on MMA at Stake. Here are some of the most popular MMA betting markets:

  • Match winner

  • 1x2

  • Total rounds

  • Will the fight go the distance?

  • Winning method

  • Winning method (double chance)

  • Winner & exact rounds

  • Parlays

Bet on MMA with Best Odds & UFC Betting Promotions

Stake is the best place to get great odds and fantastic sports betting promotions. You can make the most of our split decision promo when betting on any UFC event.

You can also gain access to more exclusive benefits when you join our VIP Club. The Stake VIP Club lets you earn rewards by levelling up your account. The more you bet, the more you’ll benefit from regular rakeback and reload bonuses, and it’s even possible to unlock your own VIP host. Find out more on our VIP FAQ page.

Watch UFC Live & Free on Stake.com!

All UFC events, including UFC PPVs like UFC 324, are available to bet on. Pre-fight and live betting markets are available on all fights, from the prelims to the main event. Not only that, but you can stream the fights live for free. As proud sponsors of the UFC, we offer high-definition streams of every event, so you never have to miss out on all the memorable moments inside the octagon on fight night. Make sure you follow our Stake Smart guidelines to bet responsibly while enjoying the fights.

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